Final Score: Marlins 2 - Rays 5
Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 1:38 PM ET

Marlins @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
38-38 Rating 1497
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
41-35 Rating 1533
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Rays
All-time wins 36 30
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Rays
Games played 76 76
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.5
Win percentage 50% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 66%