Final Score: Marlins 2 - Red Sox 1
Thursday, June 18, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
32-35 Rating 1490
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.2
Red Sox
40-25 Rating 1581
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Red Sox
All-time wins 8 15
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 6.7
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Red Sox
Games played 67 65
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.4
Win percentage 48% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 74%