Final Score: Yankees 3 - Red Sox 4
Thursday, June 11, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
34-25 Rating 1561
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
35-24 Rating 1575
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 312 309
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 59 59
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.4
Win percentage 58% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 71%