Final Score: Yankees 5 - Marlins 6
Sunday, June 21, 2009 at 5:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
38-30 Rating 1556
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Marlins
34-36 Rating 1493
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Marlins
All-time wins 13 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.0
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Marlins
Games played 68 70
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.0
Win percentage 56% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 44%