Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 39% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, May 9, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Model Prediction Through Season
Barcelona
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 72.0% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 82.1% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 73.2% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 61.2% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 25.5% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 35.9% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 23.7% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 15.3% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Games played | 12 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 4.0 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 83% / 0% / 17% | Win / Draw / Loss | 92% / 0% / 8% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | All-time wins (34 meetings, 5 draws) | 16 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 2.0 |