La Liga
Sun, May 9, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Win Probability
Barcelona has a 37% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Barcelona
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 81.7% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 87.4% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 82.7% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 76.8% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13.0% | 96.4% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 16.9% | 97.4% | 1.3% | <1% |
| If Draw | 11.7% | 96.3% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.7% | 96.0% | 1.9% | <1% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 4.4 |
| 1.1 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 71% / 0% / 29% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws) | 16 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 2.1 |