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Sun, May 2, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 46% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.5%5.9%9.6%
If Win <1%15.5%7.5%6.5%
If Draw <1%10.9%6.5%9.2%
If Lose <1%8.2%6.0%11.5%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.6%9.0%6.4%
If Win <1%20.0%9.8%3.4%
If Draw <1%14.2%8.1%6.3%
If Lose <1%12.2%7.2%8.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatAth Bilbao
7Games played6
1.3Avg goals scored1.2
1.9Avg goals conceded1.0
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatAth Bilbao
13All-time wins (32 meetings, 9 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Ath Bilbao 1–1 Real Sociedad