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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 56% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Mar 7, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Villarreal
4-3-5Rating 1859
Form: WLWDL
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
La Liga
Real Madrid
10-0-2Rating 2059
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 26.1%99.9%<1%<1%
If Win 30.9%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 23.7%100.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 19.2%99.9%<1%<1%

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.4%11.7%2.4%
If Win <1%23.7%15.3%1.1%
If Draw <1%17.1%13.5%1.8%
If Lose <1%13.5%11.3%3.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

VillarrealStatReal Madrid
12Games played12
1.4Avg goals scored2.6
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
33% / 25% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 0% / 17%
33% Home win % / Away win % 71%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
VillarrealStatReal Madrid
4All-time wins (32 meetings, 11 draws)17
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.2Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-10-10): Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal