Barcelona vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Barcelona has a 63% chance to win.
La Liga
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Atl. Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2.5% | 97.4% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 6.7% | 99.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.6% | 97.8% | 1.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.0% | 96.8% | 1.5% | <1% |
Barcelona
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 71.7% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 75.5% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 64.2% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 55.1% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| Barcelona | Stat | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Games played | 12 |
| 4.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.1 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 92% / 0% / 8% | Win / Draw / Loss | 75% / 8% / 17% |
| 83% | Home win % / Away win % | 83% |
| Barcelona | Stat | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | All-time wins (34 meetings, 7 draws) | 4 |
| 4 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 1 |
| 1.8 | Average goals | 0.8 |