La Liga
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT
Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 67% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 20%
Model Prediction Through Season
Alaves
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.2% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| If Win | <1% | 34.8% | 11.9% | 1.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | 26.5% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | 20.5% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13.7% | 96.4% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 15.0% | 97.7% | 1.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 9.6% | 96.0% | 2.2% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.7% | 92.4% | 3.2% | <1% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.1 | Avg goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 71% / 0% / 29% | Win / Draw / Loss | 43% / 29% / 29% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Real Madrid | Stat | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | All-time wins (18 meetings, 0 draws) | 2 |
| 5 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 0 |
| 2.6 | Average goals | 0.7 |