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Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Stuttgart has a 41% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Stuttgart
3-0-5Rating 1822
Form: WLLWL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
32%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%47.8%14.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.6%57.8%15.8%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%46.1%15.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%38.8%16.9%<1%<1%

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%21.8%12.9%1.5%<1%
If Win <1%27.9%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%19.8%13.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%14.7%11.7%1.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StuttgartStatBayer Leverkusen
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored2.2
1.9Avg goals conceded2.0
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
33% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StuttgartStatBayer Leverkusen
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 8 draws)17
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 Stuttgart