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RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 59% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
5-0-3Rating 1830
Form: WWLWL
vs
Model Probability
18%
Draw 23%
59%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 85.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 87.5%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 82.5%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 78.1%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%48.4%15.0%<1%<1%
If Win 2.1%59.9%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%50.3%15.3%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%46.1%14.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatBayern Munich
8Games played8
2.8Avg goals scored3.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.0
62% / 0% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatBayern Munich
2All-time wins (21 meetings, 7 draws)12
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals2.6
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Bayern Munich 6–1 RB Leipzig