Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Mainz vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability
Mainz has a 57% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 24%
Model Prediction Through Season
Hamburger SV
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 25.8% | 14.3% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 1.7% | 20.4% | 8.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 24.9% | 13.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27.8% | 17.8% |
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 2.3% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Mainz | Stat | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 2.5 | Avg goals scored | 0.5 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 3.2 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 0% / 75% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Mainz | Stat | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (20 meetings, 6 draws) | 6 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 1 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.1 |
Recent Results
Mainz
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
vs Paderborn
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Heidenheim
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0