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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Freiburg vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 59% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
VS
1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.3%3.5%14.4%4.7%
If Win <1%5.9%4.8%8.8%1.7%
If Draw <1%2.8%3.7%12.9%3.9%
If Lose <1%2.0%2.7%14.8%5.3%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.5%49.7%12.6%<1%<1%
If Win 2.1%55.1%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%45.3%13.9%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.6%14.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatPaderborn
4Games played4
3.0Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatPaderborn
2All-time wins (5 meetings, 1 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Paderborn 0–1 Freiburg