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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 42% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
30%
42%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.4%49.7%13.1%<1%<1%
If Win 2.2%57.1%12.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.5%47.1%13.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.5%14.4%<1%<1%

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.9%4.3%9.8%3.4%
If Win <1%6.6%6.2%6.4%1.2%
If Draw <1%3.7%4.2%10.1%2.2%
If Lose <1%3.4%3.1%11.5%3.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Werder BremenStatFreiburg
4Games played4
2.0Avg goals scored3.0
2.0Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Werder BremenStatFreiburg
10All-time wins (30 meetings, 8 draws)12
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen