Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Stuttgart vs Mainz
Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Stuttgart vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Stuttgart has a 52% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1820
Form: LLWLD
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.9%7.9%3.9%<1%
If Win <1%19.4%11.8%2.1%<1%
If Draw <1%13.4%8.9%4.1%<1%
If Lose <1%9.1%7.1%4.6%<1%

Stuttgart

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%23.8%12.3%1.7%<1%
If Win <1%28.4%12.9%1.5%<1%
If Draw <1%20.6%11.2%2.5%<1%
If Lose <1%14.4%9.3%3.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StuttgartStatMainz
4Games played4
1.5Avg goals scored2.5
2.2Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StuttgartStatMainz
11All-time wins (29 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Mainz 2–2 Stuttgart