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Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Schalke vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 67% chance to win.

1-2-1 · Rating 1633
Form: DWDLL
VS
4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
13%
67%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.3%91.6%3.9%<1%<1%
If Win 18.6%92.6%3.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 12.9%89.3%4.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.2%85.4%6.5%<1%<1%

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.4%19.5%
If Win <1%<1%1.2%26.4%11.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%31.0%18.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.0%23.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SchalkeStatDortmund
4Games played4
0.8Avg goals scored2.2
1.0Avg goals conceded0.5
25% / 50% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SchalkeStatDortmund
6All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2023-03-11): Schalke 2–2 Dortmund