Final Score: Mainz 1–3 Union Berlin
Bundesliga
Sun, May 10, 2026 · 6:30 PM BST
Mainz vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability
Mainz has a 58% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 24%
Model Prediction Through Season
| Mainz | Stat | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Games played | 32 |
| 1.3 | Avg goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 28% / 31% / 41% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 28% / 47% |
| 25% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Mainz | Stat | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (13 meetings, 5 draws) | 7 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 2 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.9 |
Recent Results
Mainz
@ St. Pauli
Sun, May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Bayern Munich
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3–4
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Freiburg
Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Hoffenheim
Sat, Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1