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Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 75% chance to win.
Final Score: Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
8-10-12Rating 1730
Form: DLWWW
3 – 4
Model Probability
9%
Draw 15%
75%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
25-4-1Rating 2054
Form: WWWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatBayern Munich
30Games played30
1.2Avg goals scored3.6
1.5Avg goals conceded1.0
27% / 33% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 13% / 3%
27% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatBayern Munich
7All-time wins (32 meetings, 3 draws)22
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.1Average goals2.8
Last meeting (2025-12-14): Bayern Munich 2–2 Mainz