← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Mainz vs Freiburg

Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 43% chance to win.
Final Score: Mainz 0–1 Freiburg
Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · 6:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
8-9-11Rating 1730
Form: WWWDD
0 – 1
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
29%
Bundesliga
Freiburg
10-7-11Rating 1824
Form: LWLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatFreiburg
28Games played28
1.2Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.7
29% / 32% / 39%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 25% / 39%
29% Home win % / Away win % 21%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatFreiburg
11All-time wins (30 meetings, 10 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-11-30): Freiburg 4–0 Mainz