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Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Le Havre vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 41% chance to win.

0-2-3 · Rating 1717
Form: LDLDL
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
31%
41%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.3%28.8%12.0%<1%<1%
If Win 6.2%34.1%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 4.4%27.8%12.2%1.0%<1%
If Lose 3.4%23.8%12.3%1.5%<1%

Le Havre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%23.7%16.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%22.8%12.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.7%17.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.0%20.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Le HavreStatLille
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.8
0% / 40% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Le HavreStatLille
1All-time wins (6 meetings, 1 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.5Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Lille 1–1 Le Havre