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Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Strasbourg vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 40% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1787
Form: LDWWL
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.1%28.1%13.4%1.2%<1%
If Win 6.8%35.8%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 4.3%27.9%12.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 3.9%25.3%12.0%1.4%<1%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%10.8%8.8%4.3%<1%
If Win 1.3%14.2%9.1%2.3%<1%
If Draw <1%9.8%6.6%3.7%1.0%
If Lose <1%7.1%7.0%4.6%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatLille
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.6
2.0Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatLille
5All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Lille 1–4 Strasbourg