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Paris FC vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Paris FC has a 49% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 2:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Paris FC
5-2-2Rating 1780
Form: WLWLW
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2-4-3Rating 1746
Form: LDWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.2%2.3%11.4%2.6%
If Win <1%4.0%3.6%5.7%<1%
If Draw <1%1.8%1.5%10.8%1.7%
If Lose <1%1.1%1.2%14.0%3.4%

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%20.3%12.2%1.0%<1%
If Win <1%28.5%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%17.1%10.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%14.1%8.3%1.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Paris FCStatToulouse
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored1.3
1.1Avg goals conceded1.4
56% / 22% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 44% / 33%
80% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Paris FCStatToulouse
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)1
0Last 2 meetings (1 draws)1
0.5Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC