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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lille vs Strasbourg Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 48% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1787
Form: LDWWL
Model Probability
48%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%11.5%7.9%3.5%<1%
If Win 2.0%17.0%10.7%1.6%<1%
If Draw 1.2%11.9%8.3%3.6%<1%
If Lose <1%7.7%6.7%5.0%<1%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.3%28.4%13.9%<1%<1%
If Win 5.7%35.1%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.5%25.4%12.5%1.3%<1%
If Lose 2.3%19.6%11.3%1.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatStrasbourg
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
0.8Avg goals conceded2.0
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatStrasbourg
9All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Lille 1–4 Strasbourg