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Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lorient vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 38% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.4%28.6%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win 6.3%37.1%14.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 4.1%27.1%11.7%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.6%21.6%11.7%1.2%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.2%2.3%15.0%5.3%
If Win <1%3.6%3.1%9.3%3.2%
If Draw <1%1.6%1.8%14.7%4.8%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.1%18.8%7.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatLille
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatLille
8All-time wins (25 meetings, 3 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-03-08): Lille 1–1 Lorient