← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Auxerre vs Toulouse

Auxerre vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Auxerre has a 39% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Fri, Dec 11, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-5Rating 1705
Form: LDWLW
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
34%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2-4-3Rating 1746
Form: LDWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%2.0%12.2%2.2%
If Win <1%2.8%2.9%6.8%<1%
If Draw <1%1.8%1.8%10.7%2.1%
If Lose <1%<1%1.6%15.0%3.7%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%23.5%6.3%
If Win <1%<1%1.4%18.4%3.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.1%6.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.3%10.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatToulouse
9Games played9
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
2.6Avg goals conceded1.4
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 44% / 33%
50% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatToulouse
4All-time wins (11 meetings, 3 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Toulouse 0–0 Auxerre