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Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Marseille vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 54% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.0%15.4%
If Win <1%1.4%1.4%19.3%8.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.1%14.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.0%19.2%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.3%3.0%10.8%4.1%
If Win <1%3.9%4.0%8.5%2.2%
If Draw <1%2.7%2.0%13.3%4.8%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.7%15.3%7.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatNice
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.6
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatNice
16All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Marseille 1–1 Nice