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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 4:15 PM BST

Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 51% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.7%19.4%
If Win <1%<1%1.2%21.4%11.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.5%17.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.4%25.2%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.9%1.9%15.6%6.4%
If Win <1%3.5%2.1%12.0%2.9%
If Draw <1%1.2%1.6%17.0%6.7%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%21.1%10.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatTroyes
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.8Avg goals conceded2.2
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatTroyes
6All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)0
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.0Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2023-02-01): Toulouse 4–1 Troyes