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Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 50% chance to win.
Premier League
Tue, Jan 5, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
Premier League
Bournemouth
4-3-3Rating 1945
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%35.3%12.5%<1%
If Win 1.1%47.0%12.6%<1%
If Draw <1%36.5%13.9%<1%
If Lose <1%28.1%13.3%<1%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 8.4%83.5%6.7%<1%
If Win 10.9%89.3%4.7%<1%
If Draw 6.7%81.9%5.5%<1%
If Lose 4.6%78.0%7.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatBournemouth
10Games played10
2.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.7Avg goals conceded1.4
70% / 10% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatBournemouth
6All-time wins (20 meetings, 5 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-01-19): Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth