Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 59% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa
Sun, May 24, 2026 · 4:00 PM BST
1 – 2
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
Model Prediction Through Season
| Manchester City | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Games played | 37 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 62% / 24% / 14% | Win / Draw / Loss | 49% / 22% / 30% |
| 78% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | All-time wins (26 meetings, 2 draws) | 5 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 2.4 | Average goals | 0.8 |