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Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 49% chance to win.
Final Score: Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City
Tue, May 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM BST
Premier League
Bournemouth
13-16-7Rating 1945
Form: WWDWW
1 – 1
Model Probability
24%
Draw 26%
49%
Premier League
Manchester City
23-8-5Rating 2031
Form: WWDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatManchester City
36Games played36
1.6Avg goals scored2.1
1.4Avg goals conceded0.9
36% / 44% / 19%Win / Draw / Loss64% / 22% / 14%
39% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatManchester City
1All-time wins (17 meetings, 0 draws)16
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.6Average goals3.1
Last meeting (2025-11-02): Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth