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Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 39% chance to win.
Final Score: Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City
Sun, Feb 8, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Liverpool
11-6-7Rating 1964
Form: WLDDD
1 – 2
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Premier League
Manchester City
14-5-5Rating 2031
Form: DWLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatManchester City
24Games played24
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
1.4Avg goals conceded1.0
46% / 25% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss58% / 21% / 21%
58% Home win % / Away win % 42%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatManchester City
11All-time wins (32 meetings, 11 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2025-11-09): Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool