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Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 49% chance to win.
Final Score: Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle
Sat, Jan 31, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Liverpool
10-6-7Rating 1964
Form: LDDDD
4 – 1
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Premier League
Newcastle
9-6-8Rating 1890
Form: LDWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatNewcastle
23Games played23
1.5Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.3
43% / 26% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss39% / 26% / 35%
55% Home win % / Away win % 18%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatNewcastle
18All-time wins (28 meetings, 6 draws)4
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.1Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2025-08-25): Newcastle 2–3 Liverpool