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Swindon vs Northampton Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 46% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
League Two
Northampton
3-5-5Rating 1177
Form: LDWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.7%15.6%
If Win <1%<1%5.7%9.2%
If Draw <1%<1%3.9%13.7%
If Lose <1%<1%2.6%17.2%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.1%4.8%
If Win 1.0%1.0%13.5%2.8%
If Draw <1%<1%9.9%4.9%
If Lose <1%<1%7.4%6.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatNorthampton
14Games played13
1.1Avg goals scored0.7
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
36% / 29% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss23% / 38% / 38%
57% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatNorthampton
6All-time wins (15 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Northampton 0–0 Swindon