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League Two
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Swindon vs Northampton Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 44% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1186
Form: LLWWL
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1189
Form: LLWDD
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.7%19.4%
If Win <1%<1%6.1%13.0%
If Draw <1%<1%3.5%18.5%
If Lose <1%<1%3.1%21.6%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.7%2.7%14.8%6.4%
If Win 3.6%3.6%17.1%4.7%
If Draw 1.5%1.5%11.9%6.9%
If Lose 1.2%1.2%9.6%8.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatNorthampton
7Games played7
1.1Avg goals scored0.4
1.6Avg goals conceded0.9
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatNorthampton
6All-time wins (15 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Northampton 0–0 Swindon