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League Two
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Exeter vs York City Prediction & Win Probability

Exeter has a 53% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1228
Form: DLDDL
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1167
Form: LWDLW
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.3%1.3%9.7%8.1%
If Win 2.6%2.6%13.6%5.4%
If Draw 1.6%1.6%9.8%8.1%
If Lose 1.1%1.1%8.2%10.3%

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.2%3.2%18.0%3.9%
If Win 4.3%4.3%21.2%3.1%
If Draw 2.8%2.8%16.7%4.4%
If Lose 2.5%2.5%14.2%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ExeterStatYork City
7Games played7
0.6Avg goals scored1.9
0.7Avg goals conceded1.4
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ExeterStatYork City
2All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-29): York City 2–1 Exeter