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League Two
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Swindon vs Bristol Rovers Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 42% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1186
Form: LLWWL
VS
4-0-3 · Rating 1200
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
42%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bristol Rovers

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.8%5.8%24.0%2.8%
If Win 8.2%8.2%28.3%1.8%
If Draw 5.4%5.4%20.8%2.3%
If Lose 3.4%3.4%18.7%3.8%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.3%2.3%12.4%6.5%
If Win 2.7%2.7%17.5%4.1%
If Draw 2.0%2.0%12.4%6.2%
If Lose 1.6%1.6%9.9%9.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatBristol Rovers
7Games played7
1.1Avg goals scored1.7
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss57% / 0% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatBristol Rovers
5All-time wins (13 meetings, 4 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Swindon 1–1 Bristol Rovers