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League Two
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Rochdale vs Bristol Rovers Prediction & Win Probability

Rochdale has a 37% chance to win.

2-1-4 · Rating 1150
Form: WDLWL
VS
4-0-3 · Rating 1200
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bristol Rovers

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.3%5.3%21.6%2.4%
If Win 7.1%7.1%29.0%1.3%
If Draw 4.5%4.5%21.2%2.7%
If Lose 3.6%3.6%18.2%3.8%

Rochdale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.7%25.0%
If Win <1%<1%3.9%18.4%
If Draw <1%<1%3.1%26.1%
If Lose <1%<1%1.6%31.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RochdaleStatBristol Rovers
7Games played7
1.0Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded1.6
29% / 14% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss57% / 0% / 43%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RochdaleStatBristol Rovers
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.5Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2022-04-30): Rochdale 3–4 Bristol Rovers