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Cheltenham vs Crewe Prediction & Win Probability

Cheltenham has a 39% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Cheltenham
6-3-5Rating 1181
Form: LWWLL
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
League Two
Crewe
5-7-2Rating 1219
Form: DLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Crewe

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.3%4.3%27.7%<1%
If Win 7.1%7.1%37.5%<1%
If Draw 4.4%4.4%30.9%<1%
If Lose 2.5%2.5%23.9%1.0%

Cheltenham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.2%1.2%13.4%3.1%
If Win 1.8%1.8%19.2%2.0%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%11.9%3.5%
If Lose <1%<1%8.9%5.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CheltenhamStatCrewe
14Games played14
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
43% / 21% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 50% / 14%
71% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CheltenhamStatCrewe
7All-time wins (20 meetings, 5 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-03-17): Cheltenham 1–1 Crewe