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Gillingham vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Gillingham has a 44% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Dec 1, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
League Two
Gillingham
5-5-4Rating 1182
Form: WLDLW
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
League Two
Swindon
5-4-5Rating 1187
Form: WDWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%11.5%5.1%
If Win 1.4%1.4%17.2%2.2%
If Draw <1%<1%11.3%4.6%
If Lose <1%<1%7.9%6.8%

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.2%4.4%
If Win 1.3%1.3%15.7%2.8%
If Draw <1%<1%9.6%4.8%
If Lose <1%<1%7.0%6.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

GillinghamStatSwindon
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.1
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 36% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 29% / 36%
29% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
GillinghamStatSwindon
7All-time wins (21 meetings, 9 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-17): Gillingham 0–2 Swindon