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Gillingham vs Crewe Prediction & Win Probability

Gillingham has a 40% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
League Two
Gillingham
5-5-4Rating 1184
Form: WLDLW
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
League Two
Crewe
5-7-2Rating 1217
Form: DLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Crewe

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.1%4.1%28.1%1.1%
If Win 6.7%6.7%36.0%<1%
If Draw 3.9%3.9%27.2%1.0%
If Lose 2.7%2.7%21.8%1.3%

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%11.7%5.0%
If Win 1.8%1.8%16.7%2.6%
If Draw <1%<1%10.7%4.2%
If Lose <1%<1%7.2%7.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

GillinghamStatCrewe
14Games played14
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
36% / 36% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 50% / 14%
29% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
GillinghamStatCrewe
10All-time wins (22 meetings, 4 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Crewe 1–0 Gillingham