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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 40% chance to win.
League One
Mon, Dec 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
League One
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
League One
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatAston Villa
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.7
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatAston Villa
16All-time wins (27 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
2.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea