← Home / England / League One / Matches / Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 37% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester Utd 4–4 Aston Villa
Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
League One
Manchester Utd
1-4-4Rating 1892
Form: LLDDD
4 – 4
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
League One
Aston Villa
3-3-3Rating 1943
Form: DWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatAston Villa
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored1.1
1.7Avg goals conceded1.4
11% / 44% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
25% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatAston Villa
18All-time wins (27 meetings, 6 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.0Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-03-15): Manchester Utd 3–1 Aston Villa