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Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 49% chance to win.
Final Score: Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle
Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
League One
Chelsea
13-9-7Rating 1913
Form: WLDDW
0 – 1
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
League One
Newcastle
11-6-12Rating 1890
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatNewcastle
29Games played29
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
45% / 31% / 24%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 21% / 41%
43% Home win % / Away win % 21%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatNewcastle
15All-time wins (29 meetings, 5 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-12-20): Newcastle 2–2 Chelsea