← Home / England / League One / Matches / Chelsea vs Burnley

Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 75% chance to win.
Final Score: Chelsea 1–1 Burnley
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
Chelsea
12-8-6Rating 1913
Form: DWWWW
1 – 1
Model Probability
75%
Draw 16%
10%
League One
Burnley
4-6-16Rating 1656
Form: WLLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatBurnley
26Games played26
1.8Avg goals scored1.1
1.2Avg goals conceded2.0
46% / 31% / 23%Win / Draw / Loss15% / 23% / 62%
46% Home win % / Away win % 15%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatBurnley
12All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-11-22): Burnley 0–2 Chelsea