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Championship
Tue, Apr 6, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST

Swansea vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 37% chance to win.

5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 12.0%28.9%53.5%<1%
If Win 13.1%32.0%53.9%<1%
If Draw 10.5%27.2%54.5%<1%
If Lose 8.8%23.2%55.5%<1%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.4%11.8%50.8%<1%
If Win 5.1%14.6%53.1%<1%
If Draw 3.6%10.4%51.1%<1%
If Lose 2.8%9.0%49.3%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored2.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
62% / 25% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatSouthampton
2All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-08): Southampton 3–1 Swansea