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Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 40% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 12:30 PM GMT
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.3%20.0%57.2%<1%
If Win 12.6%26.7%58.6%<1%
If Draw 8.0%19.0%57.5%<1%
If Lose 6.8%15.0%56.0%<1%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.1%6.0%45.2%<1%
If Win 3.6%8.6%50.3%<1%
If Draw 1.4%4.8%43.6%<1%
If Lose 1.3%4.1%38.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatBirmingham
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.9
1.2Avg goals conceded0.9
53% / 13% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
57% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatBirmingham
2All-time wins (15 meetings, 8 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-11-07): Birmingham 2–1 Swansea