Final Score: Derby 1–0 Middlesbrough
Championship
Thu, Jan 1, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Derby vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Derby has a 40% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
| Derby | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Games played | 24 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 33% / 33% / 33% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 29% / 21% |
| 25% | Home win % / Away win % | 42% |
| Derby | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | All-time wins (26 meetings, 7 draws) | 12 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.4 |