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← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 42% chance to win.
Final Score: Birmingham 1–1 Derby
Fri, Dec 26, 2025 · 12:30 PM GMT
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-9Rating 1696
Form: LDLLW
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1 – 1
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
Championship
Derby
8-7-7Rating 1591
Form: DWDLL
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatDerby
22Games played22
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded1.4
36% / 23% / 41%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 32% / 32%
60% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
BirminghamStatDerby
4All-time wins (22 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2022-01-30): Derby 2–2 Birmingham

Recent Results

Birmingham

@ Sheffield Utd
Sat, Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0–3
vs Charlton
Sat, Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ QPR
Tue, Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Southampton
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Watford
Mon, Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Derby

vs Portsmouth
Sat, Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Sheffield Wed
Mon, Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
vs Millwall
Wed, Dec 10, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Leicester
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Middlesbrough
Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2