Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-05 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-01 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 40% | |
| 2025-11-29 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2025-03-01 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 58% | |
| 2024-08-17 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2022-02-12 | 4–1 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 51% | |
| 2021-08-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 42% | |
| 2021-02-13 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 38% | |
| 2020-11-25 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 55% | |
| 2020-01-11 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 48% | |
| 2019-01-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 47% | |
| 2018-10-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 43% | |
| 2018-04-21 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Derby 40% | |
| 2017-11-25 | 0–3 | Derby +3 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2016-01-02 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2015-08-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 40% | |
| 2015-03-17 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Derby 42% | |
| 2014-12-13 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 41% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Derby 36% | |
| 2013-12-04 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 52% | |
| 2013-01-01 | 3–1 | Derby +2 | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2012-10-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2012-04-14 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Derby 41% | |
| 2011-10-22 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 50% | |
| 2011-03-08 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2010-09-28 | 3–1 | Derby +2 | Derby 44% | |
| 2010-03-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Derby 43% |