Penguins @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Penguins 0 - Senators 0
Thursday, December 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Penguins
6-11 Rating 1474
Form: LLLLW
@
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Ottawa Senators +0.9
Ottawa
Senators
11-7 Rating 1523
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Senators
All-time wins 80 58
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.3 2.9
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Senators
Games played 17 18
Avg goals scored 3.3 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.5 3.0
Win percentage 35% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 75%