Sharks @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Sharks 6 - Senators 2
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
San Jose
Sharks
5-5 Rating 1457
Form: LWLLW
6 – 2
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Ottawa Senators +1.1
Ottawa
Senators
7-3 Rating 1526
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Sharks Senators
All-time wins 20 24
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.8 3.0
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Sharks Senators
Games played 10 10
Avg goals scored 2.7 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.5 2.4
Win percentage 50% 70%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 80%